The top bets from Brad Waters for Caulfield Cup day

Brad Waters - Thursday October 19

A bit more joy with Odeon finished Wednesday's Caulfield meeting which will provide a bit of confidence going into Caulfield Cup day on Saturday.

Being on the Cliff's Edge can provide a rush for punters at Caulfield on Saturday.

WOULDA THOUGHT SO (CAULFIELD – Race 2 No 10)

I was disappointed to see this bloke scratched from his race on Wednesday, which turned out to be the perfect assignment as the winner steamed home down the outside. But David Hayes and his team have trained more winners than I ever will so they know best and I'll trust their judgement and stick with this talented galloper. Woulda Thought So gets to town for the first time after two runs in maiden grade, one for a solid second on the Pakenham Synthetic track before his terrific win at Ballarat last time out. He stepped up to 1400m for his second-up run and rattled home in the manner of a good horse to score. I think this bloke could develop into a smart horse in the autumn and give him a great chance on Saturday.

BET: EACH-WAY
ODDS
$10 @ Ladbrokes,William Hill, Luxbet, Unibet, Bet365, Neds

CLIFF'S EDGE (CAULFIELD – Race 4 No 2)

Cliff's Edge is racing in great heart this time in and has handled each step up in trip well this time in and should perform at his first go at 2000m. He had a comfortable run and proved too good over a mile at Caulfield two runs back before leading at a good clip and fighting on well to finish second to Main Stage over 1800m at Flemington last time out. He's hard-fit and should get a quieter trip up front if jockey John Allen wants to send him to the lead again. Hard to beat.

BET: WIN
ODDS
$4.30 @ Bet365

SAMOVARE (CAULFIELD – Race 5 No 8)

David Hayes and his co-trainers tried to get Samovare into the Caulfield Cup and she has improved with each outing this time in. She was too classy at Moonee Valley back on September 9 but improved sharply when chasing home Harlem in a quickly-run Naturalism Stakes. She dropped back in trip and was far from disgraced at Group I level in the Underwood Stakes and she'll find the Coongy Cup more to her liking. Drawn awkwardly but Damien Oliver will find a good spot for her and I expect her to be hard to hold out.

BET: WIN
ODDS
$3.60 @ CrownBet, Bet365, NEDS

SWORD OF LIGHT (CAULFIELD – Race 9 No 6)

Sword Of Light might be the blowout leg of the quaddie in the Tristarc Stakes, which will be run on her favourite track Caulfield. The Mathew Ellerton and Simon Zahra-trained mare has had three runs back from a spell for a win in the Group II Let's Elope Stakes at Flemington and two efforts in which she has been beaten less than two lengths. She led them up and tried hard in the Blazer Stakes last time out and is drawn for a perfect run in the Tristarc Stakes in which there might be a bit more pressure from the outside. If that comes, she'll get the box seat and can threaten at some stage.

BET: EACH-WAY
ODDS: $41 @ Bet365

 

Advertisment
More Reading...
Written By's Wind And The Lion Brilliant in Placid Ark Stakes
With a $500,000 prize, the Listed TABtouch-Placid Ark Stakes drew a field of promising 3-year-olds at Ascot on Saturday, and the winner looks a bit special.
One To Watch - Geelong
After a luckless second at Bendigo on debut, the Spirit Of Boom gelding Hot Digity Boom made no mistake at start two over 1235m at Geelong on Sunday.
Sires With Winners - Sunday November 17
Here is the full list of 54 stallions which had winners throughout Australasia today with winners and result details.
Inglis Classic Sire Break Up and Vendor Representation
The 2025 Inglis Classic Yearling Sale is now online with 805 yearlings and if you are a fan of Hellbent there is some good news!
2025 Inglis Classic Yearling Sale Catalogue Online
The catalogue for the 2025 Classic Yearling Sale – the best value yearling sale in the Southern Hemisphere – is now available online.
First G1 Winner for Brave Smash
The Group I MRC Sir Rupert Clark Stakes (1400m) at Caulfield on Saturday produced a first G1 winner for Yarraman Park based sire Hellbent last year when four year-old mare Magic Time took the prize and this year it was another Yarraman sire in Brave Smash (Jpn) taking the honours with his high class four year-old daughter Kimochi saluting for Yulong.
Sires With Winners - Saturday November 16
Here is the full list of 107 stallions which had winners throughout Australasia today with winners and result details.
Trans-Tasman Standouts Head Karaka Millions 3YO Order of Entry
Outstanding spring campaigns on opposite sides of the Tasman have propelled Bellatrix Star (Star Witness) and Savaglee (NZ) (Savabeel) to the top of the order of entry for the $1.5m TAB Karaka Millions 3YO (1600m).
Super Saturday for Playing God
Darling View Thoroughbreds Playing God enjoyed a remarkable Saturday at Ascot, siring the winners of three of the five stakes races.
Return to Form for Churchill Stayer
Interesting stakes race on the all weather track at Newcastle in the UK overnight with multiple Group I winner Dubai Honour sent out favoruite, but beaten comprehensively by Churchill four year-old The Foxes in the Listed Bet UK Churchill Stakes (1m2f).