Greg Polson Preview and top three bets for Coonamble

Greg Polson - Sunday October 8

Barriers 1-4 provide 43 percent of the winners at Coonamble so the inside gates are a good starting point for finding winners at the Central Western track.

Investing on every horse drawn in the first four barriers at Coonamble since January 2013 resulted in a small loss on turnover of 2.5 percent which is considerably better than the result for horses launching from gates 5-14 which produced a loss on turnover of 38.6 percent.

Out three best bets on Coonamble Cup day are in the distance range of 1200m to 1600m and the figures are even more biased towards the inside four barriers over these trips.

49.4 percent of all winners in the distance range get the money producing a profit of $40.90 ($1 units) and a POT of 12.3 percent.

STONEYRISE (Race 4 No 7)

Trained at Bourke by James Hatch, Stonyrise had tongues wagging when the six-year-old won the Western Racing Association Country Championship Qualifier at Dubbo last preparation first-up and held his own in the final at Randwick finishing just over three-lengths from the winner after working in the run from a carpark barrier draw and will relish launching from the inside gate on Sunday.

Stoney Rise returns to racing in the Crystal Sprint (1200m) with no trial to guide us but would only have to be close to the form that saw him win the Country Championship Qualifier to be winning first-up again.

PRESENT SENSE (Race 7 No 1)

The Craig Martin-trained Present Sense is drawn to get all the favours in running launching from barrier three in the day's feature, the $45,000 Coonamble Cup (1600m).

Present Sense is one of the most consistent country horses in training finishing in the placings at his last eight starts boasting four wins in the sequence and produces his best for over the mile.

Jockey Peter Graham was the winning jockey in two of the four wins and reunites with Present Sense on Sunday.

From barrier three on Sunday, Present Sense is drawn to get the run of the race tracking the likely leaders Choice Larga and Mishani Scout and if that scenario eventuates he will take plenty of holding out at the finish.

UNIQUE SHADOW (Race 8 No 7)

With the three favourites jumping from double-figure barriers in the Class 3 Handicap (1600m) and knowing the advantage the inside gates have over the trip I went searching for some value and came up with the Jane Clement-trained Unique Shadow.

A Moree winner two runs back before finishing on the placegetters heels at Dubbo last start, Unique Shadow is drawn to settle in the first half of the field and with just 52kgs on her back after the claim for 2kg claiming apprentice Cejay Graham is worth a punt at the $6.50 available in early betting markets.

Advertisment
More Reading...
2024 Favourite Foal Winner
Firstly we’d like to thank everyone for taking an interest in our foal gallery and supporting their favourites, but there was always a sentimental top pick for many and the most famous foal in the country has now won his first race!
Hong Kong Summed Up - Dec 22 - Brave Smash Winning Double
A double for Brave Smash, including a new winner, also new winners for Hellbent and Kermadec, and three yearling catalogue updates amongst seven Australasian bred winners at Sha Tin on Sunday.
$250,000 Magic Millions Debut Friday Night – Sale Mail
A field of 10 unraced juveniles will get the chance to go straight into the $3million Magic Millions 2YO Classic with a win in tonight’s $250,000 Magic Millions Debut (1000m), so who are the contenders?
Brave Smash Winning Double Hong Kong
The Sha Tin meeting on Sunday produced some great  results for the Yarraman sires with Brave Smash (Jpn) posting a winning double and Hellbent siring a promising new three year-old winner.
Stakes Racing Catalogue Updates Last Week
A dozen stakes updates in the past week into catalogues for yearlings coming up.
Zoustar Mare Wins for Te Akau - Half-Brother for K1
Consistent sprinting mare Egyptian Queen was rewarded for a string of solid performances at Te Rapa on Saturday, powering away with the Lodge Real Estate 1200.
Little Brose to Stand at Little Avondale
Arguably there is no better stallion making race in Australasia than Victoria's only Gr.1 event for two-year-olds, the Blue Diamond Stakes, and when you add the hottest bloodline in the Southern Hemisphere to the mix, you have an exciting stallion prospect. 
Sad Passing Uncle Mo
A regular shuttler to Coolmore Australia in the first four years of his stud career, leading US sire and brilliant racehorse Uncle Mo was euthanised in Kentucky on Thursday at age 16 on veterinary advice following an injury to his left foreleg.
Sires With Winners - Friday December 20
Here is the full list of 71 stallions which had winners throughout Australasia today with winners and result details.
Four MM Lead Ups for Icarian Dream - what are the stats?
Two-year-old filly Icarian Dream’s win in the B.J. McLachlan Stakes at Eagle Farm on Saturday will see her head into the Magic Millions 2YO Classic having had four starts before year’s end, which might seem a lot in this day and age – but is it? We’ve had a look.