Finally we get a good track in NSW for Wednesday's Newcastle meeting and I'm betting with a good bit of confidence.
OBSCURA (Newcastle Race 3 No 6)
Resumed after a long break and first past the post but lost on protest to his stablemate over 1350m on Newcastle's Beaumont track last time out. When last in work was considered good enough to have a crack at the Group I Champagne Stakes and went to the post as a $7 chance when sixth behind Prized Icon. Prior to that was beaten 1-1/4 lengths when fifth to Attention in the Group III Baillieu Handicap over 1400m at Rosehill when running on strongly. Suited out to 1600m here and this looks perfect to crack his maiden.
BET: WIN
ODDS: $3 @ Bet365
AXIOMATIC (Newcastle Race 5 No 2)
Worked her way through the grades when last in work after a close and unlucky second at debut over 1350m on Newcastle's Beaumont track. Closed off her four run preparation with a big win at Kembla Grange and another impressive performance winning over 1600m at Warwick Farm. Didn't do much in a recent 803m trial at Warwick Farm but with the booking of Hugh Bowman expecting she'll be switched on come race day. Think she's the best horse in the race and worthy of a gamble at good odds.
BET: WIN
ODDS: $8 @ Ubet, Palmerbet, CrownBet & Bet365
SOVEREIGNAIRE (Newcastle Race 8 No 7)
Resumes from a spell but has a really good first-up record (5-3-1-0) and caught the eye working home nicely over the last 200m of a 1200m trial at Wyong recently. Although a six-year-old Sovereignaire is only lightly raced with three wins and six placings from 12 starts and on resumption last time in went down narrowly behind Dark Eyes over 1400m at Randwick. He's ready to go and at the odds happy to have a decent crack each-way.
BET: EACH-WAY
ODDS: $14 @ Luxbet